Middle East

On September 30, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that Hamas has “three or four days” to accept a 20-point peace plan aimed at ending the war in Gaza. If Hamas refuses, he warned, the group “will meet a very sad end.” Trump framed his ultimatum in sharp terms, signaling that his patience is limited—and that consequences will follow swiftly. He stated, “We’re going to do about 3 or 4 days. We’ll see how it is … And if it’s not, it’s going to be a very sad end.” His message stressed that all Arab and Muslim nations—including Israel—have already backed his proposal, leaving Hamas isolated unless it joins. (RELATED NEWS: Trump’s Leaked Gaza Peace Plan: A Bold 21-Point Vision for Lasting Stability) Trump also added, “All Arab countries have signed, all Muslim countries have signed, Israel has signed. We are just waiting for Hamas, and Hamas will do it or not – and if not, it will be a very sad end.” President Trump: “All Arab countries have signed, all Muslim countries have signed, Israel has signed. We are just waiting for Hamas, and Hamas will do it or not – and if not, it will be a very sad end.” pic.twitter.com/k5cL06LubL — Eyal Yakoby (@EYakoby) September 30, 2025 What the Proposed Plan Includes The 20-point proposal envisions a path toward ending hostilities, disarming Hamas, securing hostages’ release, and rebuilding Gaza. Israel already endorsed the plan, committing to halt military operations once it is in place. Meanwhile, high-level envoys from Egypt and Qatar reportedly presented the plan to Hamas negotiators, requesting a response in “good faith.” The plan also includes international backing: several Muslim and Arab nations released a joint statement supporting Trump’s proposal. Signatories included Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Indonesia, Pakistan, Turkey, Qatar, and Egypt. They hailed the proposal as supportive of both Palestinian rights and Israeli security. Reactions from Israel’s Leadership Although Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accepted the plan, he faces dissent within his own right-wing coalition. Some coalition members strongly object, calling acceptance of the plan a “diplomatic failure” that ignores lessons learned from past conflicts. Moreover, Netanyahu’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, publicly criticized the move, warning it could undermine Israel’s long-term security. Yet even in opposition, figures like Yair Lapid and Benny Gantz expressed cautious support. Lapid argued that, given time pressure around hostages and conflicting priorities, Trump’s offer might be the only viable path. Gantz pledged to keep party politics from derailing the effort. (MORE NEWS: Miami Mayor’s Warning: NYC’s Mamdani Echoes Castro) Thus, Israel’s leadership appears divided: one part ready to gamble on the plan, the other anxious about its risks. Hamas’s Likely Rejection A senior Hamas figure told the BBC that the group is likely to reject Trump’s peace plan. According to the official, the proposal “serves Israel’s interests” and “ignores those of the Palestinian people.” The source stressed that Hamas is unlikely to agree to disarming and handing over weapons—one of the plan’s central requirements. Hamas also reportedly opposes the deployment of an International Stabilisation Force (ISF) in Gaza. Leaders view such a force as a new form of occupation, something they cannot accept. While Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu accepted Trump’s plan during White House talks, Hamas has not issued an official response. Still, the BBC report underscores the growing likelihood of rejection. This stance reflects Hamas’s long-standing insistence on retaining its armed capacity. It also highlights deep mistrust toward any foreign military presence in Gaza. Such objections set up a direct clash with the very conditions at the heart of Trump’s proposal. Why the Timing Matters The three-to-four-day timeline adds urgency. Such a short window may be intended to minimize stalling or political maneuvering. In this way, Trump keeps pressure high and leaves minimal room for delay. Global momentum favors the plan. With Israel, Arab nations, and many Muslim countries aligned, Trump seeks to create a diplomatic consensus that corners Hamas. By claiming all other parties are “signed up,” Trump frames rejection as purely Hamas’s choice. The hostage situation remains a critical driver. The urgency to free all 46 hostages adds emotional and political weight. The war cannot linger indefinitely without mounting costs—human, economic, and reputational. Internal politics in Israel add complexity. Netanyahu must balance coalition pressure against international obligation. His maneuvering around acceptance and coalition fractures could destabilize the government just when peace talks are reaching a climax. Possible Outcomes and Risks If Hamas accepts the plan, hostilities could end swiftly. Gaza would begin rebuilding, and displaced people might return. International aid flows could resume. Yet, the threat of future insurgency or rearmament would persist. If Hamas rejects it, military action might resume at full scale. Trump’s phrasing—“very sad end”—hints at harsher measures or public condemnation. That path risks full escalation, wider casualties, and regional backlash. Either way, any plan faces serious hurdles: ensuring disarmament, verifying compliance, providing long-term security, and building trust. Even more, breaking the cycle of violence in Gaza will require continual diplomacy, monitoring, and guarantees—not just a signed agreement. The Takeaway Trump’s ultimatum places Hamas at the center of a diplomatic storm. With only days to decide, the group faces a stark choice: accept sweeping demands that could bring relief to Gaza or reject them and face consequences that Trump has promised will be severe. Israel and nearly every major Arab and Muslim nation have already signaled support for the plan. That leaves Hamas standing alone, clinging to weapons and rhetoric while the rest of the region pushes for peace. Internal disputes within Israel may exist, but they do not change the fact that Hamas is increasingly isolated. The clock is ticking. The coming days will determine whether Hamas chooses cooperation or destruction. If it accepts the deal, the war could shift toward peace and rebuilding. If it refuses, the “very sad end” Trump warned of will not be a figure of speech—it will become a reality. Cut Through the Noise. Slice Through the Lies. Share the Truth. At The Modern Memo, we don’t…